Research on angel investing

Gradually we are learning more about the impact of angel investors in our economy and about the behavior of the angels.  Three new research reports have been recently released.  The Angel Resource Institute has published its first Halo™ report (http://www.angelresourceinstitute.org/halo-report/). The Center for Venture Research at the University of New Hampshire published its annual Market Analysis report (http://wsbe.unh.edu/sites/default/files/2011_analysis_report.pdf).  And Silicon Valley law firm Fenwick and West have published their 2011 Seed Financing Survey (http://www.fenwick.com/publications/Pages/Seed-Finance-Survey-2011.aspx).  The Boise Angel Fund contributes data to both the Halo and Center for Venture Research studies.

Here’s a summary of key findings of these reports.

1. The amount of angel investment is increasing. The below data from the Center for Venture Research annual Market Analysis reports show how the market has changed.  It peaked in 2007, and then contracted severely.  While the amounts invested have not yet reached 2007 levels, the number of investors and the number of deals are at all time highs.

Year	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011
Invested	$26.0b	$19.2b	$17.6b	$20.1b	$22.5b
Number of deals	57,120	55,480	57,225	61,900	66,230
Number of investors	258,200	260,500	259,480	265,400	318,480

 

The angel capital  market is nearly as large as the venture capital market.  According to PriceWaterhouse/Moneytree, total venture capital invested last year was $28.4 billion. But these funds were invested in only 3,673 deals, only 5.5% of the deals angel supported.

2. Early-stage deals are increasing. The Center for Venture Research reported that 42% of angel investments were in early stage companies, a significant increase from 31% in the prior year.  The Fenwick & West report says the early stage environment is expanding

3.  Angel investing remains rewarding but risky. The Center for Venture Research annual Market Analyses report about a quarter of the exits each year are due to bankruptcies; but returns on successful investments are in the neighborhood of 25% compounded.  

Year	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011
% of exits due to bankruptcies	27%	26%	40%	22%	24%
Yield on positive exits	28%	26%	23-28%	24-36%	18-28%

4. Not everything happens in California.  The first Halo report tracks angel investing by geography.  Of the dollars invested, 30% occurred in California; 2.3% on the Northwest.  Angel groups are now active all over the country and I believe we will see increasing dollars invested in Idaho and other areas that have not traditionally received early stage angel capital.

5.  Angel capital is relatively easy to secure.  For the last two years the Center for Venture Analysis reports a bit more than 18% of all deals brought to the attention of investors received money. This is atypically high and the CVR expects this rate to drop back to its historical average of 10 to 15%.  By this measure, the Boise Angel Fund is conservative.  About 5% of the deals that have approached the fund have received funding.

6. The Boise Angels’ volumes are typical.  Last year the Boise Angel Fund reviewed 20 deals, including requests for follow on funding.  The medium reviewed by participating groups was 15.  The Boise Angel Fund made three investments, one new and two follow-on.  The median for last year was 3. 

What do all these data tell us?  Angel capital is alive, active and a growing influence throughout the United States.

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Dr. Kevin Learned is a counselor at the Idaho Small Business Development Center (www.idahosbdc.org) at Boise State University where he specializes in counseling with entrepreneurs seeking equity capital. He is a member of the Boise Angel Fund, and is a principal in Loon Creek Capital (www.looncreekcapital.com), which assists angels in forming angel funds. He can be reached by email to kevinlearned@boisestate.edu or by phone at 208-426-3875.