Wednesday, October 26, 2011

New Data on Pre-Money Valuations

I thought my previous article was going to be my last for a while on the topic of valuation. But some germane new research has just been published.

In previous articles I discussed the concept of pre- and post-money valuation. Pre-money valuation is the value the entrepreneur and the angels negotiate before the angels invest. Post-money valuation is the pre-money value plus the amount of the investment, and it used for computing the percentage of stock the founders will retain after the investment by the angels.

In the second article on valuation I noted that one of the factors in setting pre-money valuations is the average regional deal value; that is at what value have other similar deals in the area been done? Since angels tend to invest close to home, the entrepreneur will have to compete for funding locally. Angels will look at the value of other similar deals in the area in deciding what value to offer or accept from the entrepreneur.

Bill Payne is a well-regarded angel investor in Montana. He is a member of the Frontier Angel Fund. The Boise Angel Fund and the Frontier Angel Fund have a close working relationship, from time to time investing in each other’s deals. Bill teaches classes on angel investing for the Angel Capital Association and has made more than 50 angel investments himself.

He just completed a survey of 35 angel groups in 26 states and two provinces. The complete results are available on his blog at http://www.billpayne.com/. His survey asks the question “What was the average pre-money value for investments made by your group in pre-revenue companies?” The average answer was $2.1 million, an increase of $400,000 from the previous year.

However, averages hide a lot of data. Valuations ranged from a low of $800,000 to a high of $3.4 million. Interesting for local entrepreneurs is that the Boise Angel Fund was one of two with the lowest valuation of $800,000. The other was Fargo/Morehead Angels, another group with which the Boise Fund has a relationship. In fairness, the Boise Angel Fund only did one pre-money deal in the past year, so that value was very specific to the deal that was done.

There are several implications for Idaho entrepreneurs.

1. Many Idaho angels have generally avoided pre-revenue deals due to their inherent riskiness. In order to entice investors to accept that risk, you have to offer a terrific deal, which means a low valuation.

2. While it is even more difficult to secure money outside of Idaho than inside, an entrepreneur with a truly exceptional opportunity may want to try to get the attention of non-Idaho groups.

3. Some valuations are skewed by the fact that bioscience and medical device deals typically receive higher valuations at the pre-revenue stage. Most Idaho angels will not do such deals.

4. Your pre-revenue deal will likely receive a lower valuation in Idaho than it might receive in a money center. The cure for this is to not seek funding until your company has secured its first revenue, thereby lowering the risk to investors. With a lower risk profile comes a higher valuation.

In our consulting practice at the Idaho Small Business Development Center at Boise State we frequently work with entrepreneurs to help them set a value on their businesses before they go to the market to raise capital. Our services are free and confidential. Call the SBDC at 426-3875 for an appointment if you would like to discuss your company’s value with one of our counselors.
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Dr. Kevin Learned is a counselor at the Idaho Small Business Development Center at Boise State University where he specializes in counseling with entrepreneurs seeking equity capital. He is a member of the Boise Angel Fund, and is a principal in Loon Creek Capital which assists angels in forming angel funds. He can be reached by email to kevinlearned@boisestate.edu.








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